![]() She was very disappointing in the G2 Hill Stakes (2000m) at Randwick prior, but that was on a Heavy 8 track. ![]() She lost the back of Gold Trip and had to pick up again in the straight, which she did quite strongly. He’s had five starts at Flemington and failed to place.ĥ5.5kg - Barrier 11 - Odds: win $9.50, place $3.30 - T: David Payne - J: Jason CollettĪ flat spot from the 600m to the 450m cost Montefilia a better finish in the Caulfield Cup (2400m) last start. Why he can’t win: The Sydney Cup form is rarely strong enough and he only carried 51.5kg there but has 55.5kg in this. He won the Sydney Cup over this distance and loves wet ground. Why he can win: He gets out in front and responds when challenged, as he did in the Caulfield Cup last start when lifting off the canvas to grab 3rd. He battled on gamely for 4th in the G1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) two-back, before kicking strongly under pressure to place in the Caulfield Cup (2400m) last start. He’s going much better this time around and is set to strike his preferred wet ground. Knights Order was beaten 25.65L in this event last year but that was on a Good 4 track and his lead-up form was poor. She’s yet to place in four runs this campaign and isn’t the same horse we saw in the autumn.ĥ5.5kg - Barrier 24 - Odds win $15, place $4.60 - T: Gai Waterhouse/Adrian Bott - J: Tim Clark Why she can’t win: She was sound in the Caulfield Cup last start but others here were better. She found the line nicely off an unsuitable tempo in the Caulfield Cup last start. Why she can win: She was brilliant winning the Australian Cup at this track and her Tancred Stakes victory was just as good, if not better. Her G1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) run here two-back was plain, but there were more encouraging signs in the Caulfield Cup (2400m) last start when coming from 16th at the 400m to finish 8th. One of the favourites for both Cups coming into this spring, the Edward Cummings-trained mare has been a few lengths below her best this prep. Very few horses win the Cup with more than 57kg, with Makybe Diva the last to do it with 58kg in 2005.ĥ5.5kg - Barrier 10 - Odds: win $21, place $6.50, - T: Edward Cummings - J: Hugh Bowman Why he can’t win: He’s unproven beyond 2400m and has had a taxing preparation off a very long break. He should have finished closer in the Cox Plate last start and he handles wet ground. Why he can win: He was only just grabbed late in the Caulfield Cup by a horse carrying 6kg less than him. His best form over 2400m is world-class but he’s a total unknown beyond that distance. The Maher and Eustace import has finally got some momentum going in Australia, running a close 2nd in the Caulfield Cup (2400m) before racing without luck in the Cox Plate (2040m) last start. Weight: 57.5kg - Barrier 14 - Odds win $21, place $6 - Trainer: Ciaron Maher/Dave Eustace - Jockey: Mark Zahra (Scott Barbour/Racing Photos via Getty Images)ĪNALYSIS (Betr odds up to date as of 12pm November 1) You can also see the full barrier list here after Saturday’s draw.īring it on. The favourite Deauville Legend maps nicely around midfield with cover, while Camorra, Hoo Ya Mal and Without A Fight will need a bit of luck early to slot in. Numerian, High Emocean and Interpretation should be handy from favourable gates. That should lead to a genuine early tempo, with the field likely to string right out over the first 800m. The early speed is against the outside rail here, with Serpentine and Knights Order sure to dash across from barriers 23 and 24 respectively. Here is the complete Melbourne Cup field analysis – including the case for and against every horse – plus top four tips and suggested $100 betting strategy below, reports. I have, perhaps a little ambitiously, worked to a Soft 7 rating. Here is everything you need to know to pick the winner of the great race - including a $100 betting strategy. Stream Over 50 Sports Live & On-Demand with Kayo. ![]() The race is set to get underway at 3pm (AEDT) on Tuesday November 1 and can be watched on Channel 10. The track is likely to be in the soft or heavy range, with rain and low temperatures forecast in the lead-up and on raceday. The Melbourne Cup is upon us for another year, with 22 horses set to do battle over the famous two-mile journey at Flemington.
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